Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 1.703293 1.955433 2.236369 2.573359 2.967614 3.415463 3.964430
2025-03-23 1.297971 1.626494 2.029802 2.564703 3.260520 4.141798 5.353267
2025-03-30 1.065671 1.414365 1.870785 2.518471 3.424430 4.662200 6.508126
2025-04-06 0.934260 1.298954 1.801899 2.556518 3.677983 5.311620 7.924466
2025-04-13 0.809333 1.169052 1.686984 2.501079 3.774328 5.733220 9.061433
2025-04-20 0.750045 1.122675 1.681302 2.598822 4.105495 6.548842 10.952205
2025-04-27 0.677460 1.045470 1.616694 2.591425 4.261852 7.099852 12.491226
2025-05-04 0.635117 1.009224 1.609667 2.672887 4.572549 7.951496 14.716342
2025-05-11 0.585981 0.955642 1.566893 2.685795 4.761724 8.611784 16.701222
2025-05-18 0.543051 0.907234 1.526374 2.695542 4.943263 9.280915 18.827272
2025-05-25 0.491847 0.839057 1.443771 2.617241 4.945030 9.598361 20.273223
2025-06-01 0.457335 0.796633 1.402026 2.609471 5.081819 10.204834 22.468823
2025-06-08 0.416329 0.742820 1.341837 2.575191 5.195868 10.860557 25.125066
2025-06-15 0.381490 0.697608 1.294466 2.564525 5.369391 11.707354 28.547935
2025-06-22 0.347323 0.649399 1.234765 2.518360 5.455411 12.370401 31.690752
2025-06-29 0.326076 0.623736 1.216192 2.556403 5.738493 13.560993 36.614324
2025-07-06 0.298293 0.581820 1.159242 2.500967 5.790490 14.188143 40.129675
2025-07-13 0.287089 0.572490 1.169110 2.598705 6.235639 15.936099 47.603562
2025-07-20 0.268200 0.544929 1.136394 2.591308 6.412094 16.996969 53.261411
2025-07-27 0.257876 0.534563 1.140194 2.672766 6.838799 18.869442 62.347528
2025-08-03 0.243493 0.513747 1.117888 2.685674 7.080976 20.257353 70.245774
2025-08-10 0.230175 0.493937 1.095615 2.695420 7.316828 21.686669 78.878039
2025-08-17 0.212585 0.462660 1.042818 2.617123 7.280970 22.238663 84.256862